YR4 has a small chance of hitting Earth in 2032, but as astronomers make more observations about its trajectory, the odds of a collision seem to be increasing

NASA has officially upgraded the likelihood of Earth being hit by asteroid 2024 YR4.NASA’s Center for Near Earth Object Studies, or CNEOS, now lists the chance of a collision in 2032 at 3.1 per cent,

An asteroid between about 130 and 300 ft. (40 and 90 meters) in diameter has been given a 2.3% chance of it hitting Earth on Dec. 22, 2032.