The past has shown that nontraditional measures like brothels, beer and lipstick can tell us a lot about the economy’s health.
Despite heightened volatility across financial markets in recent sessions, signals from prediction markets suggest recession ...
Despite labor weakness, the broader economy shows resilience. The Fed's revised forecast of 2.3% growth for 2026 suggests ...
Building on Ben Bernanke’s widely used recession probability model, we invented a better model using exactly the same ...
Looming fears of a recession have subsided in recent months. With the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates and GDP continuing to grow, Americans’ economic anxieties have cooled. But one economist ...
With fears on the rise, and amid major changes made by the Trump Administration, here's a look at where things stand.
David Solomon has three predictions for where markets and the economy are headed. The Goldman Sachs CEO weighed in on the risk of a US recession this year. He warned investors of potential "speed ...
The U.S. economy just delivered a blockbuster third quarter, but traders are already betting that the pace will start to cool sharply. Prediction markets reacted quickly after the ...
Prediction markets are interesting developments, but are they the long-term opportunity that investors are hoping for?