China, Japan and Taiwan
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The likeliest scenario for 2026 is not a full-fledged conflict, but an increase in China’s political, economic and military pressure against Taiwan
Heavyweights clash as election of hawkish PM Sanae Takaichi and US policy unpredictability change calculus in region
Taiwans Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) lawmakers have introduced a resolution denouncing China after reports suggested that China intends to pursue legal action against DPP Legislator Puma Shen on allegations of promoting secession.
The diplomatic row comes after Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi said Japan may intervene if China blockades Taiwan.
Former president and foreign ministers have made trips to Europe as other nations handle contacts more flexibly
With a clear view of China's skyscraper-studded coastline, Taiwanese coastguard captain Huang Heng-chun steers his patrol boat through choppy waters around a group of islands controlled by Taipei.The Taiwanese boats also have water cannon and a 20-millimetre static machine gun,
Relations between Tokyo and Beijing have dramatically soured, with nationalist rhetoric in China and an apparent threat of beheading from one of its diplomats.